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Havells India Q4FY26: Stock falls 7% as targets cut

HAVELLS

Havells India Ltd

HAVELLS

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Share price reaction and the immediate trigger

Havells India shares fell sharply on Thursday, April 23, after the company reported its March quarter (Q4FY26) numbers and brokerages issued mixed notes. The stock slipped 6.7% on the BSE to an intraday low of ₹1,260.25 per share, with investors reacting to subdued top-line growth and continued pressure in consumer-facing categories. The move stood out against a weaker broader market, with the BSE Sensex down 0.82% at 11:05 AM. Earlier in the day, the stock was also cited as falling about 6% to around ₹1,269. The reaction came despite a strong year-on-year rise in consolidated net profit, indicating the market was more focused on growth visibility, segment trends and margin outlook.

What Havells reported for Q4FY26

Havells posted consolidated revenue of ₹6,688 crore in Q4FY26, a low single-digit increase year-on-year. The company reported consolidated net profit of ₹734.24 crore, up about 41% year-on-year. Operating performance was weaker on a year-on-year basis, with EBITDA reported at about ₹730 crore, down around 4%. EBITDA margin was indicated at 10.9% in the results commentary, while another brokerage note cited 10.8% in Q4, about 90 basis points lower than 11.7% in the same quarter last year. Management commentary pointed to a divergence across end markets: industrial and infrastructure-linked segments remained strong, while consumer categories were relatively subdued amid persistent cost pressures.

Segment performance: cables resilient, Lloyd drags

The quarter showed a clear split between infrastructure-linked demand and consumer durables. Cables and Wires (C&W) revenue grew around 14% year-on-year to ₹2,470 crore, supported by healthier demand, and was also cited as benefiting from higher margins along with the lighting segment. Switchgear revenue rose about 6% year-on-year to ₹740 crore. Lighting revenue increased around 2% year-on-year to ₹450 crore. In contrast, the Electrical Consumer Durables (ECD) segment revenue declined around 2% year-on-year to ₹980 crore.

Lloyd, Havells’ cooling and consumer durables brand, was the weakest part of the quarter. Lloyd’s revenue fell around 19% year-on-year to ₹1,520 crore, which multiple broker notes flagged as a key reason for the muted consolidated revenue growth. Separately, one brokerage note described consumption trends for the summer portfolio as subdued due to a relatively mild start to the summer season.

Management stance: no guidance, focus on execution

Havells said it would not provide growth guidance because of evolving macro conditions. Instead, the company indicated it will focus on improving efficiency, brand building, innovation, and distribution expansion. Management also said momentum in industrial and infrastructure-linked segments remained strong, while consumer categories remained subdued due to cost pressures. For investors, the lack of near-term guidance added to uncertainty, especially because cooling products and consumer demand typically influence quarterly swings.

Brokerage actions: target cuts and rating changes

Post-results, brokerages adjusted their stance with a wide spread of ratings and targets.

Morgan Stanley downgraded Havells to Underweight from Equal-weight and cut its target price to ₹1,171 from ₹1,532, implying a downside of 13.2% as per its note. It cited weaker earnings visibility due to macro pressures and rising competition, and flagged subdued performance in Lloyd and in cables and wires. It also said a focus on market share could keep margins under pressure, and noted its earnings per share estimates were reduced by around 11% to 12% for FY27 and FY28. The note also stated the stock was valued at about 36x March 2028 estimated earnings.

Goldman Sachs maintained a Buy rating while trimming its target price to ₹1,640 from ₹1,720. It expected demand recovery in cooling products in the near term, but described the overall earnings outlook as mixed due to cost pressures and demand uncertainty. Nuvama maintained a Buy rating with a target price of ₹1,610.

Nomura kept a Buy rating but cut its target price to ₹1,620 from ₹1,798, citing subdued consumption trends for the summer portfolio and a slow first half of April. Nomura also said Havells expected normal inventory by end-April and maintained market share in most categories. ICICI Securities retained a Buy rating and cut its target to ₹1,615 from ₹1,725, highlighting cables as a structural driver while flagging temporary issues such as channel inventory effects and delayed onset of summer.

Motilal Oswal Financial Services kept a Neutral rating with a target price of ₹1,340. JM Financial downgraded Havells to Add from Buy and cut its target price to ₹1,490 from ₹1,515, citing a more conservative margin expansion assumption given higher investments in advertising and promotion, brand visibility initiatives, and R&D.

Key Q4FY26 numbers at a glance

MetricQ4FY26Year-on-year change / context
Share price move (BSE, Apr 23)Low ₹1,260.25Down 6.7% intraday
Consolidated revenue₹6,688 croreUp about 2% year-on-year
EBITDA₹730 croreDown about 4% year-on-year
EBITDA margin10.8% to 10.9%Below 11.7% in Q4 last year (90 bps lower cited)
Net profit₹734.24 croreUp about 41% year-on-year
C&W revenue₹2,470 croreUp ~14% year-on-year
Lloyd revenue₹1,520 croreDown ~19% year-on-year

Market impact: what investors appear to be pricing in

The stock’s decline indicates investors are weighing slower revenue growth and lower margins more heavily than the profit increase in the quarter. Multiple notes pointed to macro pressures, cost pressures and competitive intensity, particularly in cooling products. Lloyd’s sharp revenue decline also highlighted how sensitive the consolidated performance is to summer demand and channel dynamics. Several brokerages framed recent pressures as transitory, but at least one global brokerage reduced its visibility on earnings and valuation support.

The range of target prices and ratings also shows a split between those emphasising infrastructure-led growth in cables and those focused on consumer weakness and margin risk. The downgrade and target cuts contributed to the negative sentiment on the day, especially given the stock’s valuation references to March 2028 earnings in brokerage models.

Analysis: why the Q4 print led to mixed calls

Havells delivered a strong profit increase, but the quarter raised questions around the quality and durability of growth, given the low single-digit revenue increase and a year-on-year decline in EBITDA. The mix mattered: infrastructure-linked cables performed better, while consumer categories and Lloyd remained under pressure. That combination tends to reduce confidence in near-term predictability, which is why management avoided giving guidance.

The brokerage divergence largely reflects different weightage to (1) cables capacity and infrastructure-linked demand and (2) competition and commodity-linked cost pressures in consumer durables. With margins already lower year-on-year in Q4, the debate has shifted to whether Havells can protect profitability while defending market share across categories.

Conclusion

Havells India’s Q4FY26 results triggered a sharp share price reaction as investors and analysts weighed modest revenue growth, Lloyd’s steep decline, and lower margins against a strong profit rise. Brokerages responded with multiple target cuts and a mix of rating stances, reflecting uncertainty on earnings visibility and competitive intensity. The next set of updates investors will track include management commentary on demand conditions and inventory normalisation timelines mentioned by brokerages, alongside any improvement in cooling demand and margin trajectory.

Frequently Asked Questions

The stock fell as investors focused on low single-digit revenue growth, a year-on-year drop in EBITDA and margin pressure, alongside weak performance in Lloyd despite higher net profit.
Consolidated revenue was ₹6,688 crore and consolidated net profit was ₹734.24 crore in Q4FY26.
Cables and Wires grew about 14% year-on-year to ₹2,470 crore, while Lloyd revenue fell about 19% year-on-year to ₹1,520 crore.
Morgan Stanley cut its target to ₹1,171 (Underweight). Goldman Sachs kept Buy with a target of ₹1,640. Nuvama kept Buy with a target of ₹1,610. Nomura cut its target to ₹1,620 (Buy).
No. The company refrained from giving growth guidance due to evolving macro conditions and said it would focus on efficiency, brand building, innovation, and distribution expansion.

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