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Union Budget 2026: Capex Hits ₹12.2 Lakh Crore Amid Strategic Market Shifts

Union Budget 2026: Strategic Continuity and the Manufacturing Push\n\nFinance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman presented the Union Budget 2026-27 on February 1, 2026, marking her ninth consecutive budget and the first to be tabled on a Sunday. The budget emphasizes a Manufacturing-First strategy while maintaining a steady path toward fiscal consolidation. With a focus on the Kartavya pillars of growth, capacity building, and universal access, the government aims to transition India into a high-value intellectual property hub. The presentation comes at a time when the Indian economy is navigating global trade frictions and geopolitical tensions, yet remains the world's fastest-growing major economy. This budget reinforces the government's long-term vision through continued investment in infrastructure, manufacturing, and the green economy. While the headline figures suggest continuity, specific tax adjustments in the capital markets have triggered significant immediate reactions from investors and traders alike.\n\n## The Three Kartavya Pillars of Economic Growth\n\nThe Union Budget 2026 is anchored by three guiding principles referred to as Kartavya. The first pillar focuses on accelerating and sustaining economic growth by enhancing productivity and building resilience against global volatility. The second pillar aims to fulfill the aspirations of the people by building national capacity, making citizens strong partners in India's path to prosperity. The third pillar ensures universal access to resources, aligning with the vision of Sabka Saath, Sabka Vikas. These pillars are designed to transform aspiration into achievement and potential into performance. The government has emphasized that the dividends of growth must reach every segment of society, including farmers, youth, and women. By focusing on these core duties, the budget seeks to create a stable environment for long-term capital appreciation and social equity.\n\n## Massive Capital Expenditure Outlay for FY27\n\nCapital expenditure remains the central engine of the government's fiscal strategy to stimulate economic activity. For the financial year 2026-27, the government has proposed a record capex outlay of ₹12.2 lakh crore, representing a significant increase from the ₹11.21 lakh crore allocated in the previous year. This sustained push toward infrastructure-led development is intended to create a multiplier effect across the economy. The investment is directed toward critical sectors such as railways, renewable energy, and urban transport. By maintaining a high level of public spending, the government aims to bridge the infrastructure gap and attract private investment. This aggressive spending plan is a clear signal of the government's commitment to long-term structural growth despite global headwinds.\n\n## Fiscal Consolidation and Debt Management\n\nWhile increasing spending, the government has remained committed to a path of fiscal prudence. The fiscal deficit for FY27 is projected to narrow to 4.3% of GDP, down from the revised estimate of 4.4% in FY26. This gradual consolidation is part of a medium-term roadmap to stabilize the national debt. The debt-to-GDP ratio is also targeted to decrease slightly to 55.6% in FY27 from 56.1% in the previous year. These figures indicate a measured balance between growth-oriented spending and fiscal discipline. The government's ability to manage its deficit while expanding its investment budget is a key factor in maintaining sovereign credit ratings and investor confidence. However, the reliance on market borrowings remains high, with gross market borrowings pegged at ₹17.2 lakh crore for the upcoming fiscal year.\n\n## The STT Hike and Its Impact on Derivatives\n\nThe most immediate and controversial announcement in the budget was the sharp increase in the Securities Transaction Tax (STT) on derivatives trading. The STT on futures contracts has been raised from 0.02% to 0.05%, while the tax on options premiums has increased from 0.1% to 0.15%. This move is intended to curb excessive speculation in the futures and options (F&O) segment, where retail investors have reportedly incurred significant losses. Regulators have expressed concern over the diversion of capital from productive economic activities to high-risk trading. The market response was swift and negative, with major indices shedding over 1% and shares of exchanges like BSE Ltd hitting lower circuits. Traders view this as a substantial increase in transaction costs that could dampen liquidity in the derivatives market.\n\n## Sectoral Outlay Comparison: 2025 vs 2026\n\n| Sector | FY26 Outlay (₹ Cr) | FY27 Outlay (₹ Cr) | Change (%) |\n| :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- |\n| Defence | 6,21,000 | 7,10,000 | 14.3% |\n| Railways | 2,55,000 | 3,00,000 | 17.6% |\n| Electronics | 22,919 | 40,000 | 74.5% |\n| Biopharma | 5,000 | 10,000 | 100.0% |\n| Rural Development | 1,75,000 | 1,95,000 | 11.4% |\n\n## Manufacturing and High-Tech Initiatives\n\nThe budget introduces several schemes to pivot India toward high-value manufacturing and technology. The Biopharma SHAKTI scheme, with a ₹10,000 crore war chest, aims to establish India as a global hub for biologics and advanced medicines. In the semiconductor space, the ISM 2.0 initiative focuses on owning the entire value chain, including equipment and specialized materials. Electronics manufacturing received a massive boost with its outlay hiked to ₹40,000 crore to support component localization. Additionally, the government announced the creation of Rare Earth Corridors in states like Odisha and Kerala to secure the supply of critical minerals for the EV and renewable energy sectors. These initiatives are designed to reduce import dependence and foster a self-reliant high-tech ecosystem.\n\n## Infrastructure Expansion and Rail Corridors\n\nInfrastructure development extends beyond traditional roads to include advanced rail and waterway networks. The budget proposed seven new high-speed rail corridors to improve inter-city connectivity, including routes like Mumbai-Pune and Delhi-Varanasi. There is also a renewed focus on developing 20 new waterways to enhance cargo movement and reduce logistics costs. The government continues to support state-level infrastructure through interest-free loans, aiming for a decentralized growth model. These projects are expected to generate significant employment and improve the ease of doing business across various regions. The focus remains on faster, cleaner, and more efficient mobility solutions to support a growing economy.\n\n## Banking Sector Review and Potential Privatization\n\nA significant policy signal was the announcement of a high-level committee to review the banking and financial sector. This committee's objective is to align banking reforms with India's next growth phase and ensure financial stability. Analysts suggest this could pave the way for the privatization of public sector banks (PSBs) and attract more foreign and corporate capital into the banking system. The government also accepted the 16th Finance Commission's recommendation for a 41% vertical share of devolution to states. Total grants to states for FY27 are estimated at ₹1.4 lakh crore, including allocations for local bodies and disaster management. These structural reforms aim to modernize the financial backbone of the country.\n\n## Taxation and the New Income Tax Act 2025\n\nThe Finance Minister confirmed that the Income Tax Act 2025 will come into effect on April 1, 2026. While major changes to income tax slabs were avoided this year, the new tax regime remains the default option with simplified slabs. A long-term tax holiday until 2047 was announced for foreign companies providing cloud services through data centers located in India. This is intended to boost the digital infrastructure and data storage capacity within the country. The government is also focusing on improving tax compliance through digitization and simplifying forms to reduce the litigation backlog. For individual taxpayers, the standard deduction remains at ₹75,000 under the new regime, providing some relief to the salaried class.\n\n## Market Performance and Borrowing Concerns\n\n| Income Slab (₹) | Tax Rate (%) |\n| :--- | :--- |\n| 0 to 4,00,000 | 0% |\n| 4,00,001 to 8,00,000 | 5% |\n| 8,00,001 to 12,00,000 | 10% |\n| 12,00,001 to 16,00,000 | 15% |\n| Above 24,00,000 | 30% |\n\n## Market Impact and Future Outlook\n\nThe record gross market borrowing of ₹17.2 lakh crore for FY27 has raised concerns in the bond market. This high level of borrowing, driven partly by bond redemptions, could exert upward pressure on interest rates and increase the cost of funds for the private sector. While the equity markets reacted sharply to the STT hike, long-term investors are looking at the structural benefits of the capex push and manufacturing incentives. The budget successfully balances the need for aggressive growth with the necessity of fiscal discipline. As the global environment remains uncertain, India's focus on domestic manufacturing and infrastructure provides a resilient foundation for future growth. The transition to the new tax laws and the implementation of sectoral schemes will be the key factors to watch in the coming months.\n\n## Conclusion\n\nUnion Budget 2026 is a blueprint for a productive and self-reliant India. By prioritizing capital expenditure and high-tech manufacturing, the government is laying the groundwork for a long-term economic supercycle. Although the increase in transaction costs for derivatives traders has caused short-term market volatility, the underlying focus on supply-side reforms and fiscal consolidation remains robust. Investors should look past the immediate noise and focus on the structural shifts in sectors like electronics, biopharma, and infrastructure. The budget signals a clear policy direction toward a Viksit Bharat, emphasizing that sustainable growth requires a shift from speculation to productive investment.","readTime":177,"faqs":[{"question":"What is the total capital expenditure outlay in Budget 2026?","answer":"The government has proposed a record capital expenditure of ₹12.2 lakh crore for FY27, up from ₹11.21 lakh crore in the previous year."},{"question":"How has the Securities Transaction Tax (STT) changed for derivatives?","answer":"STT on futures has been increased from 0.02% to 0.05%, and STT on options premiums has been raised from 0.1% to 0.15%."},{"question":"What is the fiscal deficit target for the financial year 2026-27?","answer":"The government aims to reduce the fiscal deficit to 4.3% of GDP in FY27, down from 4.4% in FY26."},{"question":"What are the key highlights for the manufacturing sector in this budget?","answer":"Key initiatives include the ₹10,000 crore Biopharma SHAKTI scheme, the ₹40,000 crore electronics manufacturing outlay, and the creation of Rare Earth Mineral Corridors."},{"question":"When does the new Income Tax Act 2025 come into effect?","answer":"The Income Tax Act 2025 is scheduled to come into effect from April 1, 2026, with simplified tax rules and forms."}]}

Frequently Asked Questions

The government has proposed a record capital expenditure of ₹12.2 lakh crore for FY27, up from ₹11.21 lakh crore in the previous year.
STT on futures has been increased from 0.02% to 0.05%, and STT on options premiums has been raised from 0.1% to 0.15%.
The government aims to reduce the fiscal deficit to 4.3% of GDP in FY27, down from 4.4% in FY26.
Key initiatives include the ₹10,000 crore Biopharma SHAKTI scheme, the ₹40,000 crore electronics manufacturing outlay, and the creation of Rare Earth Mineral Corridors.
The Income Tax Act 2025 is scheduled to come into effect from April 1, 2026, with simplified tax rules and forms.

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