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Coforge Q4 FY26: Broker Targets Up to Rs 2,200

COFORGE

Coforge Ltd

COFORGE

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Stock extends gains after results-driven jump

Coforge Ltd shares climbed for a second straight session on Thursday, May 7, edging up 0.24% to Rs 1,283.80 in early trade on the BSE. The move followed a sharp reaction a day earlier, when the stock closed 9.62% higher at Rs 1,280.70 after the company reported its Q4 earnings. In another early-session snapshot cited in reports, Coforge rose 10.77% to Rs 1,294.15 versus the previous close of Rs 1,168.30. The day’s rally also pushed the company’s market capitalisation to Rs 42,562 crore in that update.

The sharp price action came as Q4 revenue and EBITDA margins were described as beating expectations in brokerage notes. Several brokerages reiterated positive ratings while raising estimates or target prices, citing improved margin outlook, better cash conversion, and a healthy order book.

Q4 FY26 numbers in focus

Coforge reported consolidated net profit of Rs 612.3 crore for the quarter, compared with Rs 250.2 crore in the same quarter last year. (A separate report cited Rs 261.2 crore as the comparable base, while keeping the Q4 FY26 profit at Rs 612.3 crore.) Revenue from operations rose to Rs 4,450.4 crore from Rs 4,231.5 crore.

Broker notes and market reports also pointed to EBITDA margin expansion, with one update stating the margin improved to 15.6% from 13.1% in the prior quarter. The earnings print, coupled with commentary around deal wins and operational clean-up, helped drive the stock’s outsized move in the sessions immediately after the results.

Order book and deal momentum signals

Jefferies highlighted robust deal wins and pointed to a 16% year-on-year rise in the executable order book. Another report pegged the executable order book at $1.75 billion, framing it as a key visibility metric.

Jefferies also said March 2026 results exceeded expectations, driven by stronger-than-expected margins and better free cash flow conversion. The brokerage added that the company’s clean-up of low-margin India business remains ongoing, but still saw visibility for double-digit organic growth on the back of the order book.

What brokerages changed: targets and ratings

Brokerage reactions clustered around “Buy” ratings, but target prices varied widely based on valuation preferences and near-term execution assumptions.

PL Capital upgraded its target price to Rs 2,020 and maintained a ‘Buy’ rating, flagging a 57% upside from the then-current levels cited in its note. It raised its EBIT margin estimates to 15.1% and 15.3% for FY27E and FY28E (from 13.8% and 14% earlier) following a re-classification. It also factored in interest costs on the $150 million item referenced in the note, along with equity dilution linked to Cigniti minority issuance and an Encora swap.

Motilal Oswal reiterated ‘Buy’ and kept a target price of Rs 1,800, describing Coforge as a top pick. It raised estimates by 3-4% while factoring the exit of the India pass-through business (noted as a 2-3% revenue impact) and a revenue restatement where hedge impact is excluded from Ebit. It also built in a 100-150 basis point improvement in margin guidance.

Broker target price snapshot

BrokerageRatingTarget price (Rs)Key rationale cited
PL CapitalBuy2,020Higher FY27E/FY28E EBIT margin estimates after re-classification; interest cost and dilution factors considered
NomuraBuy2,100Margin beat; improving free cash flow and EBIT margin; strong order book
Nuvama Institutional EquitiesBuy2,200Valuation around 20x FY27 PE noted; top pick in sector
JefferiesBuy1,860Better margins and free cash flow conversion; 16% YoY executable order book growth
Motilal OswalBuy1,800Estimate upgrades; India pass-through exit; margin guidance improvement
HSBCBuy1,710Valuations termed reasonable; flagged potential AI-related headwinds
Axis DirectBuy1,690Maintained positive stance post results
Nirmal BangBuy1,543Target multiple trimmed; target cut from Rs 1,667
Elara CapitalAccumulate1,380Upgraded from Reduce; healthcare, travel strength; BFSI muted due to client-specific issue
Choice Institutional EquitiesBuy1,900Target based on FY28E EPS of Rs 67.8
UBSNeutral1,240Cited as more cautious view
CitiSell1,115Cited as bearish view

How the stock traded around the result

Reports described an aggressive post-results move, including a surge to ₹1,285.60 after the Q4 print, with one update stating the stock hit an upper circuit on the NSE during morning deals. Trading resumed after the exchange revised the upper circuit level to ₹1,344 in that account.

Another market update said shares opened at ₹1,261 and rose to a high of ₹1,285.60, calling it a 10% rally from the previous close. By Thursday morning, the stock was holding near the same zone, with the BSE quote at Rs 1,283.80.

Market impact: what changed in the narrative

The immediate market response reflected two things: the magnitude of the profit jump and a perception of improving operating quality through margin expansion and business mix changes. Brokerages that raised estimates focused on restatements and re-classifications that improve reported margins, and on the exit of lower-quality revenue streams such as the India pass-through business.

Valuation discussions were also part of the post-results narrative. Jefferies called valuations at 19x one-year forward PE attractive, while Nuvama referenced around 20x FY27 PE and compared it at a discount to peers such as Persistent. Separately, one report cited a TTM P/E range of 30-48 and contrasted it with peer multiples, underlining why target prices can diverge even when ratings remain positive.

Technical view cited by market watchers

A technical note in the coverage said a sustained close above 1,270 could trigger fresh momentum toward the 1,350 zone. This view was presented alongside the earnings-led rerating calls from brokerages, but it remains a price-action reference rather than a fundamental forecast.

Key numbers at a glance

MetricLatest figure citedComparable figure cited
Share price (BSE, early May 7)Rs 1,283.80 (+0.24%)Previous close Rs 1,280.70
Share move (reported)Rs 1,294.15 (+10.77%)Previous close Rs 1,168.30
Market capitalisation (reported)Rs 42,562 croreNot stated
Q4 FY26 net profitRs 612.3 croreRs 250.2 crore YoY (also cited as Rs 261.2 crore in one report)
Q4 FY26 revenue from operationsRs 4,450.4 croreRs 4,231.5 crore
Executable order book (reported)$1.75 billion16% YoY growth cited by Jefferies

Why this set of upgrades matters

The cluster of raised targets and reiterated Buys suggests brokerages are increasingly anchoring their Coforge thesis on margin durability and cash conversion, not just headline revenue growth. Notes also show analysts are adjusting models for structural changes such as re-classifications, revenue restatements, and the planned or ongoing clean-up of low-margin India business.

At the same time, the spread between the highest targets (Rs 2,200) and the more cautious calls (Rs 1,115 to Rs 1,240) signals that expectations on execution and valuation remain the key swing factors.

Conclusion

Coforge’s Q4 FY26 results triggered a sharp re-rating in the stock, with profit rising to Rs 612.3 crore and revenue increasing to Rs 4,450.4 crore. Multiple brokerages maintained Buy recommendations and lifted targets, with the most bullish calls reaching Rs 2,200. The next set of cues for investors will likely come from how margins sustain after the reported re-classifications, and how deal momentum translates into delivery against the $1.75 billion executable order book cited in reports.

Frequently Asked Questions

The stock reacted to a sharp year-on-year jump in Q4 FY26 profit to Rs 612.3 crore, revenue growth to Rs 4,450.4 crore, and commentary around better margins and deal momentum.
Revenue from operations was Rs 4,450.4 crore versus Rs 4,231.5 crore, and consolidated net profit was Rs 612.3 crore versus Rs 250.2 crore year-on-year (another report cited Rs 261.2 crore as the base).
Nuvama Institutional Equities maintained a Buy rating with a target price of Rs 2,200, the highest target cited in the provided updates.
PL Capital, Axis Direct, Nirmal Bang, Jefferies, Nomura, Motilal Oswal, HSBC, Nuvama, and Choice Institutional Equities were cited with Buy or positive ratings in the coverage.
Reports cited an executable order book of $1.75 billion, and Jefferies highlighted a 16% year-on-year rise in the executable order book.

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