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CreditAccess Grameen Stock Surges 9% on Strong Q3 FY26 Profit

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CreditAccess Grameen Ltd

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Introduction

Shares of CreditAccess Grameen Ltd. surged over 9% on Wednesday, January 20, 2026, marking the stock's most significant single-day gain since May 2025. The rally was a direct response to the company's robust third-quarter financial results for fiscal year 2026, which showcased a strong return to profitability and significant operational improvements. This performance prompted a wave of upgrades from leading brokerages, fueling investor confidence and causing the stock to significantly outperform the broader market, which saw a minor decline.

A Strong Financial Turnaround in Q3

CreditAccess Grameen reported a remarkable financial turnaround for the quarter ending December 2025. The company's consolidated revenue grew by a solid 8% year-on-year (YoY), reaching ₹1,490 crore compared to ₹1,380 crore in the same period of the previous fiscal year. The most notable highlight was the company's profitability. It posted a consolidated net profit of ₹252 crore, a stark reversal from the net loss of ₹99.5 crore reported in Q3 FY25. This impressive performance translated into a Return on Assets (RoA) of 3.5% and a Return on Equity (RoE) of 13.8% for the quarter.

Exceptional Growth in EBITDA and Margins

The company's operational efficiency saw a dramatic improvement. Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization (EBITDA) witnessed an exceptional surge of 126% YoY, climbing to ₹813 crore from ₹360 crore a year ago. This substantial growth in earnings led to a sharp expansion in the EBITDA margin, which stood at 54.5%, a significant increase from 26.07% in the corresponding quarter of the previous year. This margin expansion was a key factor highlighted by analysts in their positive assessments.

MetricQ3 FY26Q3 FY25Year-on-Year Change
Consolidated Revenue₹1,490 crore₹1,380 crore+8.0%
EBITDA₹813 crore₹360 crore+126%
EBITDA Margin54.5%26.07%+2843 bps
Net Profit / (Loss)₹252 crore(₹99.5 crore)Turnaround to Profit

Brokerages Upgrade Stock with Confidence

The strong quarterly results triggered a series of positive revisions from market analysts. Multiple brokerage firms upgraded their ratings and price targets for CreditAccess Grameen, citing improving fundamentals and a favorable risk-reward profile. HSBC raised its rating to 'Buy' from 'Hold' and increased its price target to ₹1,630 from ₹1,310. Emkay Global upgraded its rating to 'Buy' from 'Add', maintaining a target price of ₹1,550. Similarly, JM Financial upgraded the stock to 'Buy' with a target of ₹1,530. The consensus among analysts is overwhelmingly positive, with 14 out of the 17 analysts covering the stock recommending a 'Buy' rating.

Solid Operational Performance

Beyond the financial metrics, CreditAccess Grameen's operational performance remained solid. The company's Gross Loan Portfolio (GLP) grew by 7.1% YoY to reach ₹26,566 crore. Disbursements also saw a healthy increase of 13.4% YoY, totaling ₹5,767 crore for the quarter. The microfinance institution continued to expand its reach, adding 2.06 lakh new borrowers in Q3, with 39% of them being new to credit. The branch network also expanded to 2,222 branches by the end of December 2025.

Marked Improvement in Asset Quality

A key driver behind the positive sentiment is the significant improvement in the company's asset quality. The Portfolio-at-Risk (PAR) for the 0-90 day bucket declined, indicating better repayment behavior among borrowers. Overall PAR 0+ decreased sequentially to 4.4% in Q3 from 4.7% in the preceding quarter. Collection efficiency also strengthened, standing at 95.5% in December 2025, an improvement from 94.5% in September 2025. Furthermore, write-offs were reduced to 3.9% from 10.5% in the previous quarter, signaling a moderation in credit costs.

Confident Management Outlook

The management has provided a confident outlook for the coming fiscal years. They have reiterated their guidance for 20% growth in Assets Under Management (AUM). The company expects its Return on Assets (RoA) to improve further, targeting a range of 4% to 4.5%, up from the current 3.5%. Management also anticipates that Net Interest Margins (NIMs) will trend back towards the 14% to 14.5% range over time. For FY26-27, the company has guided for credit costs to be between 4% and 4.5%.

Market Impact and Stock Movement

The stock's 9.3% intraday rally to ₹1,357.4 was its best single-day performance in over eight months. Trading volume was exceptionally high, at 53 times the 30-day average, indicating strong investor interest. This performance was particularly notable as it occurred on a day when the broader Nifty 50 benchmark was subdued. Following the rally, the company's market capitalization stood at ₹20,429.19 crore.

Conclusion

CreditAccess Grameen's impressive stock surge is a direct result of its strong Q3 FY26 performance, characterized by a return to profitability, robust revenue growth, and significant margin expansion. The positive results, coupled with improving asset quality and lower credit costs, have restored confidence among investors and analysts. With a clear growth strategy and positive management guidance, the company appears well-positioned to continue its recovery and deliver sustained value to its shareholders.

Frequently Asked Questions

The stock surged over 9% due to strong Q3 FY26 financial results, which included a significant turnaround to a net profit of ₹252 crore from a loss in the previous year. This performance led to multiple upgrades from brokerages like HSBC and Emkay Global.
Key highlights include an 8% year-on-year revenue growth to ₹1,490 crore, a 126% surge in EBITDA to ₹813 crore, and a net profit of ₹252 crore, reversing a ₹99.5 crore loss from Q3 FY25.
Brokerages reacted very positively. Firms like HSBC, CLSA, Emkay Global, and JM Financial upgraded the stock to 'Buy' ratings and increased their price targets, citing improving fundamentals and a favorable outlook. 14 out of 17 analysts covering the stock now recommend 'Buy'.
The management has reiterated its guidance for 20% growth in Assets Under Management (AUM). They also expect Return on Assets (RoA) to improve to a range of 4% to 4.5% and Net Interest Margins (NIMs) to trend towards 14% to 14.5%.
Asset quality has shown significant improvement. Portfolio-at-Risk (PAR 0+) declined sequentially to 4.4%, collection efficiency improved to 95.5%, and write-offs were substantially reduced, indicating better credit discipline and lower risk.

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