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ABB India shares slide 10% as margins, valuations bite

ABB

ABB India Ltd

ABB

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What triggered the sharp fall

ABB India shares came under heavy selling pressure on Monday as investors reacted to a mix of margin concerns and cautious brokerage commentary. The stock slipped as much as 9.80% to an intraday low of ₹6,325. Sentiment weakened even as the company reported steady revenue growth and strong order inflows for the March quarter. Several analysts flagged that profitability trends are not keeping pace with top-line and order momentum. Rich valuations after a recent rally also became a key talking point in broker reports.

How the stock traded during the session

The stock opened sharply lower at ₹6,662 against the previous close of ₹7,012.50. Around 9:27 am, it was trading at ₹6,501, down ₹511.50 or 7.29%, placing it among the top losers in industrials and capital goods. During the session, the stock recorded an intraday high of ₹6,687 and the intraday low of ₹6,325. At 10:55 AM, it traded at ₹6,359, down 9.32% from the previous close. The stock also traded below its VWAP of ₹6,433.61, signalling persistent selling through the morning.

Q4 (March quarter) revenue rose, but profit fell

ABB India reported revenue from operations of ₹3,185 crore for the quarter ended March 2026, up 6% year-on-year from ₹3,011 crore. Order inflow for the quarter rose over 25% year-on-year to ₹4,280 crore. The executable order backlog increased 17% to ₹11,094 crore, indicating continued demand momentum across segments.

But profitability weakened despite the operational growth. Net profit declined 25% year-on-year to ₹342 crore from ₹457 crore in the year-ago period. Profit before tax for the quarter stood at ₹462 crore. The company attributed profitability pressure to adverse revenue mix, execution of lower-margin orders, higher input costs, and forex volatility. It also said slower project execution weighed on margins.

Margin pressure drivers the company flagged

The company’s commentary pointed to a familiar set of headwinds for engineering and manufacturing-linked businesses. Higher input costs and forex movements were cited as key factors. A greater share of lower-margin orders being executed also affected profitability. Slower project execution added to the pressure in the quarter.

ABB India also flagged supply-chain cost pressures linked to geopolitics. It said limited export disruptions and increased logistics complexity due to geopolitical tensions in West Asia have led to higher supply-chain costs and longer delivery timelines. These factors contributed to the market’s focus shifting from order strength to earnings quality.

Parent ABB’s Q1CY26 update added to caution

Dalal Street’s cautious stance also drew from the parent company’s Q1CY26 update. ABB reported a 24% year-on-year rise in order inflows for Q1CY26. Within the AMEA region, India-related growth was reported at 26%, supported by demand from data centres and railways.

However, profitability concerns persisted in the commentary around the broader group. Analysts cited pressure from higher raw material costs, adverse currency movements, intensifying competition, and slower execution. For ABB India investors, this reinforced the view that order momentum may not translate into quick margin expansion.

Brokerages turn cautious: downgrades and ‘Sell’ calls

Multiple broker notes pointed to valuation risk and limited near-term earnings visibility. MOFSL downgraded ABB India to ‘Neutral’ from ‘Buy’ and set a two-year forward target price of ₹6,600. MOFSL said the stock was trading at 83.8x, 69x and 56x P/E on CY26, CY27 and CY28 estimates, which it viewed as expensive at the current price.

JM Financial maintained its ‘Sell’ rating with a target price of ₹5,210, citing elevated valuations and expectations that margins may remain under pressure. The brokerage highlighted the 26% year-on-year order inflow growth reported for India within ABB Global’s AMEA region. Its analysts said this appears in line with their estimate of around ₹4,300 crore, implying nearly 27% year-on-year order inflow growth (excluding robotics) for ABB India in Q1CY26. Even so, JM Financial said valuations at 76x CY27E EPS make the risk-reward profile significantly adverse, noting the stock had traded below its average P/E of around 60x until the recent rally.

Elara Capital revised its rating to ‘Sell’ from ‘Reduce’, citing continued near-term margin pressure, while raising its target price to ₹6,180 from ₹5,800 (valued at 55x March 2028E P/E). It said the current market price already factors in most positives, while pressure on margins and profitability could weigh on the stock.

Macquarie downgraded ABB India to “Underperform” from “Neutral” with a target price of ₹5,470, citing concerns around valuations and earnings visibility.

Key numbers at a glance

CategoryMetricValue
Stock moveIntraday low₹6,325
Stock moveIntraday high₹6,687
Stock movePrevious close₹7,012.50
Stock movePrice at 10:55 AM₹6,359 (down 9.32%)
TradingVWAP₹6,433.61
Q4 (Mar 2026)Revenue from operations₹3,185 crore (up 6% YoY)
Q4 (Mar 2026)Order inflow₹4,280 crore (up 25%+ YoY)
Q4 (Mar 2026)Executable order backlog₹11,094 crore (up 17%)
Q4 (Mar 2026)Net profit₹342 crore (down 25% YoY)
BrokerageMOFSL rating and TPNeutral, ₹6,600
BrokerageJM Financial rating and TPSell, ₹5,210
BrokerageElara rating and TPSell, ₹6,180
BrokerageMacquarie rating and TPUnderperform, ₹5,470
BrokerageNomura rating and TPReduce, ₹4,870

Nomura’s earlier cuts underline the valuation debate

In a separate update referenced by market participants, Nomura Global Markets Research maintained a ‘reduce’ rating and trimmed its target price to ₹4,870. Nomura cited competitive pressure and moderated operating leverage expectations in its commentary. It also referred to a period where gross margin contracted 386 basis points and EBITDA margin dipped 505 basis points year-on-year to 14.1%, alongside a foreign exchange loss of ₹56.5 crore.

Broader market context: profit booking in industrials

ABB India’s decline also played out against broader weakness in industrial, engineering and capital goods counters, where investors have been booking profits after a strong rally in recent months. Higher crude oil prices, geopolitical uncertainty, and concerns around input costs have kept risk appetite in check across rate-sensitive and manufacturing-linked sectors.

Why the sell-off matters for investors tracking capex themes

The day’s price action highlights how the market is weighing execution and margins against strong order pipelines. ABB India continues to show demand momentum, supported by order inflows and backlog, but broker notes suggest the market needs clearer signs of sustainable profitability improvement. Valuation sensitivity also appears high after the stock’s recent run-up, making quarterly margin commentary and execution progress critical data points.

Conclusion

ABB India’s sharp fall reflects a shift in focus from order strength to profit quality and valuation comfort. With multiple brokerages turning cautious and margins still under pressure, investors are likely to track subsequent updates on execution, input costs, and the pace of margin normalisation in the coming quarters.

Frequently Asked Questions

Investors reacted to margin pressure and a 25% YoY drop in net profit, along with brokerage concerns on expensive valuations and slower execution affecting profitability.
Revenue from operations rose 6% YoY to ₹3,185 crore, order inflow grew to ₹4,280 crore, backlog increased to ₹11,094 crore, and net profit fell 25% YoY to ₹342 crore.
MOFSL downgraded to Neutral (TP ₹6,600), JM Financial maintained Sell (TP ₹5,210), Elara moved to Sell (TP ₹6,180), and Macquarie downgraded to Underperform (TP ₹5,470).
MOFSL cited P/E multiples of 83.8x, 69x and 56x on CY26, CY27 and CY28 estimates, while JM Financial pointed to about 76x CY27E EPS versus an average P/E near 60x.
ABB India cited adverse revenue mix, execution of lower-margin orders, higher input costs, forex volatility, slower project execution, and higher logistics costs due to West Asia geopolitical tensions.

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